Monitoring Implementation of the Millenium Development Goals in the Time Dimensions
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Free Web tool for time distance monitoring updated with easier preparation of input files |
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Wednesday, 30 September 2009 |
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SICENTER with the free Web tool enables a variety of interested users such as international and national organizations, NGOs, experts, students and media to monitor implementation of targets in the time dimension from the Lisbon and NRP targets in the case of EU and for MDGs or other planned, budget, or aid disbursement targets at world, regional, national, sub-national or business levels. A new template to facilitate the user with the preparation of the input file for our free web monitoring tool is provided below. This template enables you to paste the corresponding actual data of your choice in the block format (simple copy paste). It also calculates linear or exponential lines to targets according to your assumptions and combines it with actual data. This greatly reduces the amount of time needed to prepare the input file from a structured database.
Template: Web_tool_preparation_1.0.xlt
Data entered into the template should be saved as ‘Microsoft Excel Workbook 97-2003 version’ (.xls), and not as Template (.xlt). Notwithstanding that the template when opened in Excel 2007 shows "Read Only" users of Excel 2007 version can enter the data into the template and save it under a new name as Excel 97-2003 version. Such saved input file can then be imported into the web monitoring tool using the 'browse' button in the tool.
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Pavle Sicherl at OECD conference Data Designed for Decisions |
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Thursday, 18 June 2009 |
Time distance offers a novel perception of world disparities and of the implementation of the Millennium Development GoalsThis is the presentation of Pavle Sicherl at the joint OECD and Institute for International Design conference, June 18-20, Paris.
In the ‘Beyond GDP’ chain Statistics-Knowledge-Policy we need new concepts and
indicators, but also new understandable statistical measures facilitating very diverse
groups of stakeholders to build their perceptions of the situation.
S-time-distance is such a novel statistical measure providing new insights to many
problems. Expressed in time units it is readily understood by policy makers,
managers, media and general public, thus an excellent presentation and
communication tool for policy analysis and debate.
S-time-distance measures the distance between the points in time (lead or lag in
time) when the two compared countries reach the same level of the indicator X. In
measuring the overall “position” and “progress” among and within countries the new
dimension succeeds in finding new stories about development gaps from existing
data. It complements prevailing static measures by telling new more complex stories
in simple terms.
The new story of this added dimension of the disparity in the world is found by
showing how many years earlier were the present values for 160-200 countries
attained in Sweden as a long-term benchmark. For GDP per capita one half of the
countries (80 countries) were lagging Sweden by more than 70 years (36 countries
even for more than 160 years). Yet for internet users per 100 inhabitants the
corresponding value was 10 years, even though the static disparities were high. The
perceptions of the degree of disparity may be very different in static terms and in time
distance pointing to broader conclusions and semantics important for policy
considerations.
Cross-fertilization: Gaptimer meets Gapminder. Time gap measure animation
example is provided in the Gapminder Community graph.
Application to monitoring implementation of targets with time distance is shown
for Millennium Development Goals. Free web monitoring tool is available for users at
the world, country, regional and local levels.
The presentation is available at Sicherl presentation DD4D ver 2.ppt
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Official development assistance alert - a point for the G8 Summit |
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Thursday, 26 June 2008 |
G7 Countries Average is lagging 5 years behind the line to the UN 2015 target.
For the net official development assistance 2007 was another disappointing year. The indicator percentage of gross national income devoted to official development assistance (ODA/GNI) was studied in relation to the assumed line to the UN 2015 target of 0.7%. Several of the analysed countries are not officially committed to this target but a common benchmark allows also for the relative comparisons of the assistance effort. S-time-distance measure was used to get an easily understandable overview of the situation of whether the 22 DAC countries are on- or off- the track to this MDG target.
Tracking the timetable for reaching the UN target with time distance showed how widely the performance in 2007 was off the track: the delay of 5 or 4 years for G7 as a group and for DAC total, respectively, is a drastic underachievement. In the seventh year the ODA/GNI value was at the level supposed to be achieved already in 2002 and 2003, respectively, on the line to the UN target. Also the hypothetical projections for 2010 by the OECD-DAC Secretariat indicate that no radical breakthrough is in sight as the time gap would stay unchanged: 5 and 4 years, respectively; the percentage shortfall would amount to 54% for the USA and 59% for Japan. Public awareness of these facts should be instrumental for public pressure on the governments for far-reaching improvements in this domain.
There is a wide gap between the development assistance efforts among the observed 22 countries. The ODA/GNI value in the 5 European countries that have already reached the 0.7% target is in relative terms four times higher than in the last group where it is below 0.2%. It is sad that the latter group devoting less than 0.2% of their GNI for official development aid includes 57% of the population of the DAC countries. Furthermore, the whole 88% of population is in the countries with values below 0.4% and between 2-7 years behind the line to target. They need to find the political will to do much better, especially the G7 countries. It is hoped that the forthcoming G8 Summit in Japan can make an important contribution to remedy this unacceptable situation.
Annex tables and graphs provide detailed information on individual countries as well as enable the comparisons across them. They are prepared using the free GAPTIMER monitoring tool for calculation and graphing of S-time-distance deviations from the line to target. S-time-distance methodology allows numerous stakeholders to benefit from this novel statistical measure for policy debate for many issues and at various levels.
It provides the official organisations as well as the media and NGOs with an additional analytical and presentation tool for continuous monitoring of the implementation of the established targets at world, regional, national, sub-national and business levels.
Text: G7 lags the UN 2015 target by 5 years.pdf
Annex tables: Annex tables with 2010.pdf
Annex graphs by countries: Annex Graphs ODA_GNI.pdf
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Seminar on S-TIME-DISTANCE at the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle |
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Sunday, 27 April 2008 |
Pavle Sicherl presented S-Time-Distance – A Novel Generic Statistical Measure Providing New Insights from Existing Data at the seminar of the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle on April 15, 2008.
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