Pavle Sicherl at OECD conference Data Designed for Decisions
Thursday, 18 June 2009

Time distance offers a novel perception of world disparities and of the implementation of the Millennium Development Goals

This is the presentation of Pavle Sicherl at the joint OECD and Institute for International Design conference, June 18-20, Paris.

In the ‘Beyond GDP’ chain Statistics-Knowledge-Policy we need new concepts and
indicators, but also new understandable statistical measures facilitating very diverse
groups of stakeholders to build their perceptions of the situation.

S-time-distance is such a novel statistical measure providing new insights to many
problems. Expressed in time units it is readily understood by policy makers,
managers, media and general public, thus an excellent presentation and
communication tool for policy analysis and debate.

S-time-distance measures the distance between the points in time (lead or lag in
time) when the two compared countries reach the same level of the indicator X. In
measuring the overall “position” and “progress” among and within countries the new
dimension succeeds in finding new stories about development gaps from existing
data. It complements prevailing static measures by telling new more complex stories
in simple terms.

The new story of this added dimension of the disparity in the world is found by
showing how many years earlier were the present values for 160-200 countries
attained in Sweden as a long-term benchmark. For GDP per capita one half of the
countries (80 countries) were lagging Sweden by more than 70 years (36 countries
even for more than 160 years). Yet for internet users per 100 inhabitants the
corresponding value was 10 years, even though the static disparities were high. The
perceptions of the degree of disparity may be very different in static terms and in time
distance pointing to broader conclusions and semantics important for policy
considerations.

Cross-fertilization: Gaptimer meets Gapminder. Time gap measure animation
example is provided in the Gapminder Community graph.

Application to monitoring implementation of targets with time distance is shown
for Millennium Development Goals. Free web monitoring tool is available for users at
the world, country, regional and local levels.

The presentation is available at  Sicherl presentation DD4D ver 2.ppt