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EUROCHAMBRES Time-Distance Study 2009
Monday, 08 June 2009

The crisis further increases time delays behind the Lisbon targets – the USA is still ahead and China and India are cutting time distance dramatically

Time-Distance Study 2009 was published by EUROCHAMBRES as their Position Paper: What Foundations does Europe Need to ensure its Global Competitiveness? 

The time distance analysis looks at time gaps for four indicators among EU27 and USA as well as BRIC countries. The dynamics in the new century led to two different conclusions about the convergence: the lag behind the USA stayed substantial while ‘what if’ scenarios show that China and India could continue to decrease their time lag behind EU27 dramatically.

The study also discusses the monitoring of the implementation of the Lisbon targets, the recommendations for further measures and time distance methodology.

Full text: Time Distance Study 2009.pdf
Foresight and time distance methodology
Saturday, 04 April 2009

A New Perspective Related to Time

The time distance approach can contribute a broader way of thinking and changed semantics into the present state-of-the-art of comparative analysis. At the 10th Bled Forum on Europe there was a parallel workshop ‘Foresight Training Workshop for Participants from South East Europe’. Presentation by Pavle Sicherl discussed the potential benefits of time distance method that include also benchmarking evaluation of the starting situation, a presentation and communication tool to describe, compare and visualise findings of scenarios in a new dimension and continuous monitoring for targeted actions. The presentation Sicherl Foresight Training seminar Bled.ppt is available online.

More details about elements to be used in foresight are available in an older background paper for the US-EU Seminar: New Technology Foresight, Forecasting & Assessment Methods, Seville, 13-14 May, 2004. Pavle Sicherl presented the poster on the time distance method in foresight analysis with background paper.
Digital divide is much smaller in the time distance perspective
Saturday, 20 December 2008

Beyond GDP: the rapid growth of ICT contributes to reducing world disparities

The time distance perspective shows a very different picture of the digital divide than static measures. Both perspectives are necessary and S-time-distance as a novel generic statistical measure is needed to make the present-state-of-the-art more relevant for multi-dimensional and long-term development analysis and policy debate. 

Pavle Sicherl contributed a brief note to the open discussion for the Paradiso 7FP project ‘ICT for a global sustainable future’ available below. The broader orientation beyond GDP means that comparisons and policy debate have to be broadened in two respects: 1) with new values and new Beyond GDP indexes or indicators and 2) with new statistical measures that can help the stakeholders to build their perceptions of the situation in a broader dynamic framework that is closer to the reality.
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