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Section on time distance analysis in ITU’s report 'Measuring the Information Society 2010'
Wednesday, 24 March 2010

The S-time-distance shows an alternative way of looking at digital divide at the world level that can be used also at other levels 

International Telecommunication Union in Geneva recently published the new report 'Measuring the Information Society 2010'. Chapter 3 measuring the digital divide has also a section on time distance analysis (pp. 43-52). It is also useful in comparisons across indicators from different indicators and domains (Chart 3.6). ITU and SICENTER evaluated the digital divide in time from benchmark Sweden and on pages 50 and 51 ITU managed to visually present the results for each of the 200 countries.  

The S-time-distance is now treated as an alternative way of looking at digital divide at the world level, but it can be useful also for analysing digital divide at the national, regional, sectoral, gender and socio-economic groups. By analogy, disparities in the world (and for other levels) for other indicators and for different domains can be better understood when taking into account both static and time distance dimensions of disparities. 

 
Pavle Sicherl: Contribution to the Public Consultation on the future EU 2020 Strategy
Tuesday, 02 February 2010

What happened with the implementation of the Lisbon targets? Lessons to be learned about transparency and co-operation

The preparation and implementation of the new EU 2020 Strategy requires realistic evaluation of the initial position including past performance, better transparency and more effective co-ordination at the EU and national levels. 


Table 1. Monitoring implementation of the EU Lisbon targets in two dimension: 
time distance and percentage deviation

By 2008 the actual developments were lagging behind the respective lines to the Lisbon targets by 2.7 years for dynamics of GDP, for 3.1 years for total employment rate and for more than 7 years for the share of R&D in GDP (delay of seven years in an eight year period!). This is a much more transparent way of monitoring the implementation for governments and civil society that can help to bring about continuous policy adjustments than the statistical format of presentation in the Commission reports. The analysis of implementation is much more interesting also in political terms when it is made against the national targets.

Good governance uses the feedback from the implementation as an indispensable phase of the policy process to adjust the future actions. Four lessons are discussed in the contribution: 
1. One has to start from a realistic evaluation of the initial position and of past performance.
2. For efficient implementation much better co-ordination is needed.
3. Much greater transparency is needed both in setting up the strategy and in its continuous monitoring. 
4 A transparent innovative method for monitoring implementation at all levels is available but not utilised

The benefits of the new S-time-distance view in comparisons, competitiveness issues, benchmarking, target setting and monitoring for economic, employment, social, R&D and environment indicators at the world, EU, country, regional, city, sector, socio-economic groups, company, project, household and individual levels could be immediately applied to many indicators  from a wide variety of substantive fields using existing data and indicator systems from international, national, regional, business and local sources.

“But I want to go further. We need to match this huge investment in ex ante assessment with an equivalent effort in ex post evaluation – to ensure that our proposals really do deliver what they promise and to enable us to revise and correct them where they fail to work as expected. All of these initiatives are designed to focus EU action on the essentials, removing bureaucratic processes and unnecessary centralisation“ (Barroso, 2009, p. 29). 

These political guidelines should be applied right now for a thorough ex post analysis of implementation at EU and country levels to benefit from the lessons learned from the ongoing Lisbon Strategy and not just proclaimed and  reserved for some undefined distant future. The time distance methodology can make a modest contribution in the consultation process by presenting the situation in transparent terms with clear interpretability both to decision makers and to the general public, which can as well facilitate understanding, commitment and broader participation in the preparation of the EU 2020 Strategy. 


 
World digital divide in mobile phones penetration decreased
Saturday, 19 December 2009

Mobile phones penetration for 6 world regions and 3 development aggregates compared in two dimensions – static index and S-time-distance

Mobile phones are very important means for contribution to well-being in terms of communication and connectivity even at undemanding applications. Digital divide for mobile phones penetration is studied in two dimensions – static index and S-time-distance from benchmark Sweden. Sweden was chosen as a benchmark as it is ranked first in ITU’s ICT Development Index. The analysis for 6 world regions and 3 development aggregates is based on regional data provided by ITU to complement earlier analysis by countries.

The exceptional speed of mobile phones diffusion has enabled also developing countries to advance in ten years from 5% to 45% of the penetration level for Sweden. Although the static view of disparities in 2008 remains high (world average is at 50% and Africa at 27% of Sweden) the time distance view shows a more promising picture: world average is less than 9 years and Africa less than 12 years behind Sweden. Visually combining both dimensions and the level of penetration rates provides a broader view of the situation.

The digital divide for mobile penetration rate using specific data for more than 200 countries were presented in Time distance view of 200 countries for mobile phones penetration rate.

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